Monday, February 15, 2010

Profitable Weekend...

Contrary to my expectations, I did not have to help clean out Michele's garage on Sunday.  In fact, I didn't see Michele at all this weekend, as she's currently dealing with a situation involving one of her family's properties in Arizona.  This benefited me twofold: (a) I didn't have to deal with the ridiculousness of Valentine's Day (my apologies to all hopeless romantics, but seriously, what a bullshit "holiday"), and (b) I got to play a ton of poker.

Fortunately pour moi, I ran pretty well, netting nearly a grand (at 10.10 bb/100) and pushing my bankroll north of the $15K mark in the process.  Oddly enough, my five Friday/Saturday sessions were winners, yet my two Sunday sessions were losers.  (I didn't cash in any of the lotteries tourneys I played.)

A few posts back, I mentioned something about losing repeatedly while playing at Michele's home on Sundays.  The last couple of weekends, I've been playing at my home on Sundays - and the losing has continued.  As much as I'd love to be able to pin the blame on Michele's less-than-optimal poker environment for this trend, I'm coming to the conclusion that I'm ineffectively playing against the schools of fish that regularly turn out on Sundays as a result of the massive tournament schedule.

My sense is that I'm probably falling prey to something akin to FPS - although I wouldn't characterize it precisely as such, because I think the style works well against decent opponents.  I've been rewarded by expanding my aggression level against the normal crop of thinking players who show up during the week - but against the Sunday contingent, these plays simply seem to backfire over and over again.

On a typical weeknight, I can open with ATC for 2.5x on the button, expect to take down a fair amount of pots, be three-bet occasionally, folding most of my trash but occassionally 4-bet bluffing those who I suspect are re-stealing, all for a decent profit.  On Sundays, any open from the button invariably leads to calls from both blinds, neither of whom are going anywhere any time soon.

On a typical weeknight, I can bluff an overcard on the turn.  On Sundays, I'll routinely be called by bottom pair / no draws.

On a typical weeknight, I can protect the money put into a 3-bet pot with a semibluff shove.  On Sundays, not a chance. 

On a typical weeknight, I can profitably squeeze light openers with ATC.  On Sundays, I'll be routinely called by the original caller.  (Actually, one play that seems to be a Sunday favorite that I've now seen on two occasions is where an overcaller will shove against a squeeze attempt.  In both instances, it smelled somewhat funny to me, so I called with, I think, jacks in one instance and KJo in another - and was a comfortable favorite both times.  You know, soul reads, lol...) 

I really think that on Sundays, my biggest mistake is in trying to play too creatively/aggressively.  There's no point in trying to represent a hand when your opponent isn't thinking about what you're likely holding.  And there's no point in trying to utilize position without the benefit of cards, when your opponents couldn't possibly care less about your positional advantage. 

So, I'm probably better off playing solely my cards on Sundays - only raising with hands that rate to be a favorite in late position, only continuing when I actually hit the flop, and calling more preflop with anticipated implied odds.  The challenge will be in forcing myself to actually play this way...          

Current Bankroll: $15,288.89
Friday PM (1): 1068 hands; up $427.35; EV: +$583.85
Friday PM (2): 1065 hands; up $208.85; EV: +$203.59
Saturday AM: 639 hands; up $379.79; EV: +$358.84
Saturday PM (1): 1548 hands; up $89.20; EV: -$51.02
Saturday PM (2): 1252 hands; up $246.95; EV: +$110.35
Sunday AM: 2634 hands; down $305.30; EV: -$412.35
Sunday PM: 1483 hands; down $67.95; EV: -$127.20
Month To Date: 27,945 hands; up $971; 3.47 bb/100
Year to Date: 64,236 hands; up $2,699; 4.20 bb/100

Music by the ELS Experiment